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Recruiting analysts say its tougher to project which top prospects will succeed in college at quarterback than at any other position.A look at their rankings bears that out.Only one of the top nine quarterbacks in the 2013 class started more than three games for the school that originally signed him, according to composite rankings of recruiting websites compiled by 247Sports . Thats No. 2 Christian Hackenberg, who played three seasons at Penn State before being drafted in the second round by the New York Jets.By comparison, nine of the top 15 overall 2013 prospects regardless of position are in the NFL after being drafted in the first two rounds.I dont think its hard to evaluate the physical skills that are required to play the position, Alabama coach Nick Saban said. But I think some of the most important things in playing quarterback are decision-making, judgment, timing, leadership, accuracy under pressure, and those things are much more difficult to evaluate until a player is actually called upon to do that in your particular system, even in some cases.Just four of the top 20 quarterbacks from the 2013 class are currently starting for the schools they originally signed with: Ohio States J.T. Barrett (No. 10), Tennessees Joshua Dobbs (No. 13), Stanfords Ryan Burns (No. 15) and North Carolinas Mitch Trubisky (No. 19).The other four starters from the top 20 are transfers, with only one at a Power Five school. Charlottes Kevin Olsen (No. 5) originally signed with Miami. Utahs Troy Williams (No. 7) started out at Washington. Northern Iowas Aaron Bailey (No. 12) transferred from Illinois. Louisiana Lafayettes Anthony Jennings (No. 20) came from LSU.It is a tougher position to evaluate, said Barton Simmons, the national scouting director for 247Sports. Theres a litany of factors why, the primary one being that quarterback moreso than any other position is all about intangibles.You obviously have to have ability to be successful, but the great ones are the ones that have some things you just cant measure, whether that be toughness or leadership ability or the ability to make plays in big moments and compute all the different things that a quarterback has to absorb over the course of a game, play or season.Coaches encounter similar problems trying to decide which quarterbacks to pursue without knowing their mental makeup.What you dont see on film is leadership, Mississippi State coach Dan Mullen said. Its hard to evaluate the processing of information and intelligence because a lot of times you dont know what theyre being coached to do (in high school).In an era of 7-on-7 tournaments and offseason camps, quarterbacks are seen more often in a variety of different environments before they ever arrive on campus. Simmons believes that generally has made it easier to evaluate but notes analysts occasionally can get bamboozled by how someone fares in these settings.Simmons remembers how Michigans Shane Morris performed so well at 7-on-7 events that it was tempting to overlook his so-so high school completion percentage. Morris, the No. 3 quarterback in the 2013 class, according to the 247Sports Composite, has started only two college games and hasnt thrown a single touchdown pass.Former NFL quarterback Trent Dilfer says quarterbacks shouldnt be judged solely on how they perform in those types of controlled environments. Dilfer works as a head coach of Elite 11, a quarterback competition for prospects across the country.The analogy I give all the time is what if the PGA Tour went and gave you a card based on how you hit it on the driving range? Dilfer asked. It would be such a different PGA Tour. The guys that actually get the ball in the hole and know how to compete and how to overcome swing flaws and bad days and wind gusts and bad lies and all the other things that come with it, theyre the guys who win.Mike Farrell, the national recruiting analyst for Rivals, says 7-on-7 events and camps can measure a quarterbacks physical traits. High school results can show how he performs in game situations. But theres still a key element missing.The one thing you cant replicate when youre scouting a high school quarterback is a 280-pound future first-round defensive end coming around the edge in his face, Farrell said. What is he going to do then?It isnt just the high bust rate of top prospects that reveals the difficulty of projecting which quarterbacks will succeed in college. There also are the quarterbacks who outperform their rankings. Consider the case of Louisville sophomore Lamar Jackson, the early Heisman Trophy front-runner who was rated a three-star prospect (on a scale of five) by multiple recruiting services.Farrell, whose service rated Jackson as a four-star prospect, understands why the former Boynton Beach High School star has exceeded expectations.We didnt know that running away from everybody in South Florida would translate to running away from everybody in the entire country in college, Farrell said. He looked fast, but he didnt look this fast.Jackson also found the right spot at Louisville playing for Bobby Petrino, and perhaps thats the biggest key to projecting success.Dilfer isnt convinced that its more difficult to evaluate quarterback prospects, noting highly regarded recruits at other positions also often fail to live up to their rankings. But he does believe that finding the right school is more important than having the most talent.Do you fit where youre going? Dilfer said. Do you fit athletically? Do you fit in terms of your ability to actually (play) quarterback? Do you fit into the style of play they use? Do you fit into the culture? Do you fit into the school? Do you fit into the social environment?Its all about fit.---AP Sports Writers David Brandt and John Zenor contributed to this report.---Online: The APs college football page: http://collegfootball.ap.org Mickey Mantle Yankees Jersey . 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American Matt Kuchar, ahead by two strokes with four to play and even with Scott with one to go, double-bogeyed the 18th after taking two shots to get out of a bunker. WASHINGTON -- Jayson Werth knew this seasons NL Division Series defeat following a division title felt different from the same scenarios that played out for the Washington Nationals a couple of other times recently.How so?I dont know, the teams left fielder said, then repeated that phrase in a silent, somber clubhouse in the early hours of Friday after a 4-3 loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers in Game 5. Words are not really coming to me to describe it. Its pretty heavy. Its going to take some time to digest.For the third time in five years, Werth and Washington won the NL East. And for the third time in five years, they failed to win a postseason series.Now comes an offseason with some familiar questions about when, or even if, the 37-year-old Werth and other members of the core group thats been around for these early exits can take the next step.A lot of people have played baseball a lot longer than me and never even made the playoffs. I cherish getting to the playoffs. Everyone wants to win the World Series. Everyone wants to, obviously, get to the next level and get in a deep postseason run. The truth of the matter is, its really hard to do. You have to obviously play well, get some lucky breaks and have a few things go your way, said first baseman Ryan Zimmerman, the Nationals very first amateur draft pick more than a decade ago. I think we should look at the positives and look what weve done in the last five years. Obviously, were all disappointed right now. But weve done a lot of good things.Dusty Baker was the latest manager to get Washington into the postseason but not to an NL Championship Series, pulling all the right strings during his first regular season with the team but seeing some moves not quite pan out against LA, especially in Game 5.That added to his decade-plus, four-club track record of failing to win games that would have concluded a series.In the aftermath of elimination, Baker was asked whether its inevitable that a team or a city goes through difficult moments before getting to a championship.You do have to go through some pain. Its not a very pleasant pain. Ive gone through that pain a few times now, Baker said. But you have to persevere. Thats the storyy of life.dddddddddddd Its how you deal with the down times and how you deal with pain. And if you just keep persevering, then something will happen, something good will happen. You cant stop trying. You cant stop trying to reach your goal.Here is what else to know about the Nationals 2016 season and upcoming offseason:STRASBURGS ELBOW: For the second time in his major league career, Stephen Strasburg sat out a postseason because of his right elbow. In 2012, it was because the right-hander was shut down 13 months after Tommy John surgery. This season, it was because Strasburg hurt his arm . His $175 million, seven-year contract kicks in next season, so the Nationals -- and fans -- will hold their breath waiting to find out how badly hes injured. As became clear against the Dodgers, without Strasburg, there is nothing October-ready about the rotation beyond Max Scherzer -- and the Nationals lost both games the NL Cy Young Award favorite started in the NLDS.HARPERS HEALTH: Bryce Harper went from being the youngest unanimous MVP in baseball history in 2015 to a bit of a mystery in 2016. His numbers went way down to a .243 average, 24 homers, 86 RBI in the regular season, and he had only one RBI in the playoffs. The big question is whether he or the Nationals will ever explain exactly what his health status was -- because if he wasnt badly compromised by injury, then his lack of production at the plate becomes a lot more worrisome.BULLPEN PROBLEMS: Time to rebuild the relief corps again. Closer Mark Melancon and middleman Marc Rzepczynski can become free agents (as can catcher Wilson Ramos , who had right knee surgery Friday). Setup man Shawn Kelley left Game 5 with numbness in his throwing hand. While the bullpen was spotless through three games against the Dodgers, it blew leads in Games 4 and 5 losses, the same old October story for this team.TURNERS EMERGENCE: The best news for Washington might be the emergence of rookie Trea Turner, who batted .342 with 13 homers, 40 RBI and 3